The US stock market remains stable with limited downside risk. It doesn’t mean that we are in a bull mode with all of the indexes rising. In fact, before today the Dow was down for the year and the S&P was only up 1.4%.  Overall, the markets are digesting the gains from the last two […]

The stock market has been struggling for most of this year. Mainly, it is trying to digest the gains from 2016 and 2017. During this time, it has been vital for the markets to hold critical long-term support levels. Looking back at 2018, initially, concerns over higher interest rates and inflation ruined the January advance […]

The Curious Symbiotic Relationship “………if Boeing and Amazon are targeted with a new trade policy, these stocks could take down the entire market. If the market falls, then the nation’s wealth affect is threatened. If the wealth effect is threatened, then the government’s new, inflated budget goes by the wayside. If the budget deficit explodes […]

The US economy added 313,000 new jobs in March compared to consensus estimates of 200,000. This was a big surprise to Wall Street. Further adding to the robust showing was the labor participation rate which showed more than 800,000 Americans entering the workforce. Markets interpreted this news favorably and stocks surged. Unlike the February jobs […]

The stock market suffered a severe setback at the outset of February. Numerous factors might have contributed to the mayhem but the overriding reason for the damage was fears of higher interest rates. The stock market has an indelible link with interest rates. This is a problem, right now. Lower interest rates push down borrowing […]

Thine Market is an Outlier The New Year started with a bang as the stock market shrugged off a languid, but steady, a pattern of advance in 2017 and shifted into a steepening ascent. The renowned investment manager, Jeremy Grantham, most famous for his longstanding bearish view, joined the enthusiasm by proclaiming, “As a historian […]

What is the investment playbook for the dawn of the New Year? Predictions for 2018 abound but none are really more than just opinions and you should remain suspect of the validity of these opinions. They often miss the mark. Last year, the market defied everybody. Analyst’s forecasts fell way short for the stock market. […]

Stocks Continue to Climb The market climbed inexorably higher during the third quarter. This relentless march upward without yielding a meaningful decline is virtually unprecedented. Usually, even in the best of years, the market always sustains ordinary pullbacks. 2017 might end up being the first time the market has made positive returns every calendar month […]

It is normal for the stock market to have setbacks, on a regular basis. Usually, the stock market always goes through a garden variety 5% or 10% correction, even during strong years. Declines of this magnitude occurred in 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, etc. Sometimes these declines happen more than once. But, this year is […]

The market and our client accounts continue to grind higher in the early stages of this quarter. If historical measures could serve as a guidepost, the outlook for the market is strong. Since 1945, when the market has been up in January and February, it has finished the year positive all 27 of 32 times […]